![]() ![]() The White Sox still made the playoffs behind the bat of star SS Tim Anderson.Ĭonsidering all the injury difficulties the Sox had and their ability to still make the postseason, I’m unsure why FanGraphs is projecting Chicago to win only 88.6 games. Within the first month of the season, Chicago lost arguably its two best hitters, outfielders Eloy Jiminez and Luis Robert. Fortunately, they were able to live up to the hype while finishing the regular season with a 93-69 record, despite a number of early-season injuries. Many people expected them to win at least 90 games. Prior to 2021, the White Sox lineup was put on a pedestal. Chicago White Sox –īetMGM and Caesars both have the Chicago White Sox lined at 91.5 wins, nearly three wins above the FanGraphs forecast of 88.6. Despite signing 2021 AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and former Reds 3B Eugenio Suarez, Seattle may still be overvalued in the market. In 2021, the Mariners won 90 games, significantly outperforming their preseason win total in the market. At BetMGM, the Mariners win total is 84.5, a 4.8 differential with FanGraphs’ 79.7 wins. The Seattle Mariners have a pretty substantial 2022 MLB win totals differential at the books vs. MLB WIN TOTALS 2021 SERIESThe market may be significantly underestimating the impact of losing arguably its two best players.Ģ022 World Series Futures Biggest Differences At FanGraphs Seattle Mariners – MLB WIN TOTALS 2021 FREEUpon losing both Matt Olson and Matt Chapman to free agency this past offseason, Pecota projects that the loss of its star infielders will have a far greater impact on the team’s success in the 2022 season than what the win total is line at BetMGM and Caesars. Oakland Athletics –īetMGM and Caesars agree on an Athletics win total of 71.5, a 6.1 win differential compared to Pecota’s forecast of 65.4. Also, the Angels expect both 3B Anthony Rendon and OF Mike Trout, both who spent the majority of the 2021 season on the Injury List, to be ready to play. 2 SP behind Shohei Ohtani, who exploded in his second season. The Angels’ now have an impressive one-two punch atop their rotation, as Syndergaard is likely to be their No. One is the signing of former New York Mets starter Noah Syndergaard. That said, there are a number of potential reasons for the difference between the two. Los Angeles Angels –Īt BetMGM, the Angels win total sits at 83.5, which is nearly five wins above Pecota’s forecasts of 88.4 wins. I expect this lack of efficiency and offensive output to continue into the 2022 season. Last year, the Tigers did not have a single player hit more than 25 home runs, 85 RBIs and a. Outside of OF Akil Badoo coming off an outstanding rookie campaign, the Tigers lineup is not particularly impressive and I do not expect there to be any significant increase in its offensive production. ![]() It would be the highest that the team has won in more than a decade. Despite Hinch’s ball club’s several off-season moves, including the signing of former New York Mets shortstop Javy Baez and former Red Sox SP Eduardo Rodriguez, I personally cannot comprehend why the market projects the Tigers to win 79 games this season. Detroit Tigers –Īt both BetMGM and Caesars, the Tigers’ win total is at 78.5, an eight-game difference compared to Pecota, which projects Detroit to win 67.4 games. In 2021, the Yankees underperformed relative to its preseason expectations, finishing third in the AL East, winning 92 games. They will also have both OF Aaron Hicks and 3B Miguel Andujar returning to the starting lineup after both played less than 50 games last season. In addition to the rotation’s one-two punch, the Yankees were able to add three-time All-Star Josh Donaldson, who should further add to its already impressive home run hitting ability. In the 2021 season, the Yankees’ rotation struggled mightily, but I expect it should improve substantially with Severino coming back. Although the Yankees did not make many significant moves in the offseason, their former ace Luis Severino will be returning to the rotation alongside two-time Cy Young runner-up Gerrit Cole. My expectation for the Yankees this upcoming season is very much in line with the win total forecasted by Pecota for a couple reasons. Pecota projects the Yankees should win 98.7 games, a 7.2 win differential compared to BetMGM’s projection. However, the market standard for the Yankee win total is far lower than Pecota’s projection. Pecota/FanGraphsīiggest Differences At Pecota New York Yankees –Īt BetMGM, the New York Yankees win total is 91.5. We’ll take a look at which teams Pecota and FanGraphs differ most with the books’ numbers in search of potential betting value. Two of the more popular and respected projection systems – Pecota and FanGraphs – have already released their win totals for each team. That doesn’t leave much time to handicap 2022 MLB win totals. After the lockout, Major League Baseball’s opening day is now April 7. ![]()
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